Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000627 0.000719 0.000817 0.000929 0.001052 0.001184 0.001335
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000481 0.000608 0.000753 0.000928 0.001135 0.001368 0.001651
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000411 0.000554 0.000724 0.000940 0.001204 0.001512 0.001897
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000340 0.000488 0.000672 0.000915 0.001222 0.001592 0.002067
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000285 0.000432 0.000624 0.000887 0.001229 0.001653 0.002209
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000249 0.000398 0.000600 0.000884 0.001265 0.001747 0.002393
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000220 0.000370 0.000580 0.000883 0.001300 0.001839 0.002575
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000192 0.000340 0.000554 0.000873 0.001320 0.001910 0.002728
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000167 0.000310 0.000526 0.000855 0.001328 0.001964 0.002860
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000154 0.000300 0.000524 0.000875 0.001388 0.002087 0.003085
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000142 0.000289 0.000520 0.000890 0.001441 0.002202 0.003302
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000125 0.000266 0.000497 0.000874 0.001448 0.002253 0.003432
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000243 0.000471 0.000853 0.001447 0.002293 0.003549
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000230 0.000460 0.000856 0.001480 0.002383 0.003738
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000220 0.000455 0.000866 0.001524 0.002489 0.003951
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000201 0.000430 0.000843 0.001516 0.002517 0.004052
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000182 0.000405 0.000816 0.001501 0.002535 0.004138
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000172 0.000394 0.000814 0.001524 0.002608 0.004306
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000162 0.000385 0.000813 0.001548 0.002684 0.004479
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000151 0.000371 0.000803 0.001557 0.002735 0.004616
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000139 0.000354 0.000787 0.001554 0.002769 0.004726
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000137 0.000356 0.000805 0.001610 0.002894 0.004978
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000134 0.000356 0.000819 0.001659 0.003011 0.005218